Current Bitcoin Price

Current Mayer Multiple

Loading chart... (uses javascript)

Below 1.0 Between 1.0 - 2.4 Above 2.4

Historic Mayer Multiple

historic mayer multiple chart
This is the Mayer multiple for each month since Bitcoin's inception

The average daily Mayer Multiple since the creation of Bitcoin is (this stat is auto-updated daily). This number is determined by taking all Mayer Mutliples (taken each day) since the creation of Bitcoin and averaging them.

Frequently Asked Question about the Mayer Multiple

What is the Mayer Multiple?

down arrow

The Mayer Multiple is used for technical analysis in Bitcoin investing.

It is used in order to determine whether Bitcoin is overbought, fairly priced, or undervalued.

The Mayer Multiple is calculated by taking the price of Bitcoin and dividing it by the 200 day moving average value

Price of Bitcoin / 200 day moving average value

So, take for example a Bitcoin price of $10,890 and a 200 day moving average of $9,287.

$10,890 / $9,287

That would give you a Mayer Multiple of...


How Should I Interpret the Mayer Multiple?

down arrow

The Mayer multiple was created to determine when a bubble in Bitcoin is occurring or, conversely, when Bitcoin is underbought and undervalued. When Trace Mayer came up with the multiple, he found that by backtesting various multiples, 2.4 performed the best.

trace mayer
Trace Mayer, the inventor of the Mayer Multiple

That is, if a Bitcoin investor bought Bitcoin at any multiple below 2.4 and stopped investing once the multiple reached 2.4, it yielded the best results. The thesis here is that once the multiple goes above 2.4, it indicates that Bitcoin may be overbought and a mania (usually with altcoin mania too) has set in, which could result in a bubble.

This is where the Mayer Multiple breaks from traditional technical analysis. Growing prices are typically considered bullish, whereas dropping prices are considered bearish. The Mayer Multiple takes the opposite approach by trying to identify a fault line in a burgeoning bubble so the investor can stop accumulating Bitcoin before a top hits.

NOTE: Identifying bubbles is merely the intended purpose of the Mayer Multiple. It should be made clear that expecting past performance to hold consistent for future performance is not guaranteed. Just because a multiple of 2.4 has historically performed well doesn't mean this will continue to be true. Predicting the future of markets is impossible so you should proceed with any investment thesis or technical analysis with caution.

Who is Trace Mayer?

down arrow

Trace Mayer (based in USA) is one of Bitcoin's earliest investors and a student of Austria economic theory. He was one of the leaders behind the Proof of Keys movement, which seeks to hold Bitcoin exchanges accountable by creating a regularly scheduled "run on the banks" in order to make sure exchanges are not participating in fractional reserve banking practices, especially with lending becoming more popular.

proof of keys